1
Roman Agent
5yo Gelding · 10-0 · Draw 1 · OR 71
Greyville · Live It. Love It. Own It. www.racecoast.co.za B Stakes · 5f 212y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Greyville | Callan Murray | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-09-21 | Scottsville | M Yeni | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairview | Mickaelle Michel | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Fairview | Wayne Agrella | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Fairview | Wayne Agrella | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Fairview | Wayne Agrella | ? | 2nd | -2th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 6-12 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength17%
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/12/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 30/01/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 20/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 89% | -0.04 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/5 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |
| 21/09/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 11/10/2026 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |