2
Viking Leader
3yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 2 · OR 81
Greyville · Live It. Love It. Own It. www.racecoast.co.za B Stakes · 5f 212y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength19%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Greyville | Divesh Ramkhalawon | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Greyville | Rachel Venniker | ? | 1st | -3th | +4 |
| 2026-04-26 | Scottsville | Rachel Venniker | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-03-27 | Greyville | Rachel Venniker | ? | 3rd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Scottsville | Rachel Venniker | ? | 3rd | 7th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 24/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength29%
Delivery trend -16.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 27/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 85% | +0.02 |
| 26/04/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 25/09/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 13% | -0.72 |