8
Limerick Lace
4yo Filly · 9-8 · Draw 8 · OR 71
Greyville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Class 4 (F & M) · 4f 214y
#10
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.6
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Greyville | Callan Murray | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Turffontein | Callan Murray | ? | 14th | 17th | −2 |
| 2025-10-09 | Vaal | Jeffery Syster | ? | 5th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-06-08 | Turffontein | Callan Murray | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-05-17 | Turffontein | Callan Murray | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 27/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength26%
Delivery trend +10.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 08/06/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 09/10/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 01/11/2025 | 14th | 20/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 23/02/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |