7
Royal Crest
3yo Filly · 8-5 · Draw 7 · OR 56
Greyville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Class 4 (F & M) · 4f 214y
#7
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Greyville | Tristan Godden | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Greyville | Tristan Godden | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Scottsville | Tristan Godden | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Greyville | Tristan Godden | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-04-26 | Scottsville | Tristan Godden | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Greyville | Damyan Pillay | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 64/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength22%
Delivery trend -9.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 01/03/2026 | 2nd | 80/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 15/03/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.47 |
| 08/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 09/08/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 20% | -0.22 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 24/09/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 17% | -0.44 |