IvyArcIvyArc
5

Sign Of Fate

6yo Mare · 9-5 · Draw 5 · OR 78

Greyville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Class 4 (F & M) · 4f 214y

#4

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved on recent efforts to win 9-runner handicap (6/1) at this course (6f, good) 19 days ago. Heading back in the right direction recently.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Scottsville 01/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1291/0344 @ Greyville 27/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1275 @ Greyville 11/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13711/0454 @ Greyville 09/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1254 @ Greyville 30/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Std 12630/0544 @ Greyville 04/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Std 1284 @ Scottsville 02/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1282/084C5 @ Greyville 04/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1164 @ Greyville 11/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12811/104projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-11GreyvilleK De Melo41st1st0
2026-09-04GreyvilleKaidan Brewer?4th5th−1
2026-08-02ScottsvilleDezahn Louw48th8th0
2026-07-04GreyvilleCraig Zackey46th6th0
2026-05-30GreyvilleCraig Zackey41st1st0
2026-05-09GreyvilleDivesh Ramkhalawon44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/039/052/0811/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength95%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/03/20264th7/163%57%-0.06
27/03/20266th4/179%38%-0.41
11/04/20262nd10/147%92%+0.44
09/05/20264th9/153%70%+0.17
30/05/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
04/07/20266th10/147%50%+0.03
02/08/20268th12/137%13%-0.24
04/09/20264th20/10%67%+0.67
11/10/20261st5/174%100%+0.26