Causeshzprecocious
2yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 9 · OR 59
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
54%
Place Prob
43%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Gulfstream | Sonny Leon | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Gulfstream | Edwin Gonzalez | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-09-05 | Gulfstream | Jonathan Ocasio | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-08-15 | Gulfstream | Jonathan Ocasio | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -12.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 19/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 09/10/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |