Hattie G

2yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 6 · OR 56

Gulfstream · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKED

Move▼2

Strength75%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.3

Today:

Class gap: +2.3

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Jockey	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-10-04	Gulfstream	Heriberto Figueroa	?	8th	6th	+2	4.4
2026-08-15	Gulfstream	Leonel Reyes	?	7th	4th	+3	6.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 10-10 · tight 71/100

▼ UNDER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength0%

Delivery trend -24.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
15/08/2026	7th	16/1	16%	14%	-0.02
04/10/2026	8th	14/1	26%	0%	-0.26