5
Irish Tale
2yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 5 · OR 59
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Gulfstream | J G Torrealba | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Gulfstream | Jose Morelos | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Gulfstream | Miguel Vasquez | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 24/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength68%
Delivery trend +53.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 04/09/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 26/09/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |