1
Bayou Brigid
3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 1 · OR 87
Gulfstream · Race 10 - Cellars Shiraz Stakes · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Gulfstream | Samy Camacho | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Gulfstream | Samy Camacho | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-16 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-07 | Gulfstream | Luca Panici | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 64/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength22%
Delivery trend -9.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 29/11/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 09/01/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 07/02/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 16/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 15/05/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |