9

Cryingintherain

3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 9 · OR 91

Gulfstream · Race 10 - Cellars Shiraz Stakes · 1m 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength17%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 23/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 6f16y Std 12823/1055 @ Lingfield 17/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 5f6y Std 12817/1255 @ Lingfield 31/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 6f1y Std 12831/1254 @ Kempton 08/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 75 · 6f Sta 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 75 par8/044OR 75C6 @ Gulfstream 27/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 74 · 5f Fm 120 · below its mark27/09/2026 · OR 74 par27/09C6OR 74projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-27GulfstreamJ G Torrealba?6th7th−1
2026-04-08KemptonBilly Loughnane44th3rd+1
2025-12-31LingfieldH Crouch51st2nd−1
2025-12-17LingfieldCallum Shepherd55th6th−1
2025-10-23SouthwellJ P Spencer58th9th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/1017/1231/128/0427/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 27/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength60%

Delivery trend +16.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/10/20258th2/189%22%-0.67
17/12/20255th2/189%43%-0.47
31/12/20251st16/116%100%+0.84
08/04/20264th11/142%57%+0.15
27/09/20266th9/153%38%-0.15