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Day To Day

3yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 8 · OR 91

Gulfstream · Race 10 - Cellars Shiraz Stakes · 1m 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

11/8

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength48%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Aqueduct 06/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 83 · 1m Fas 120 · below its mark06/11/2025 · OR 83 par6/11C5OR 83C5 @ Gulfstream 27/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 81 · 7f110y Gd 118 · beat its mark27/11/2025 · OR 81 parBHA80 @ Gulfstream 31/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 80 · 1m110y Fm 120 · below its mark31/01/2026 · OR 80 par31/0180OR 80C6 @ Turfway Park 08/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 79 · 6f110y 122 · below its mark08/03/2026 · OR 79 parC5 @ Woodbine 25/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 88 · 6f Fas 118 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 88 par25/04C5OR 88C5 @ Colonial Downs 27/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 89 · 1m110y 118 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 89 parC5 @ Colonial Downs 15/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 91 · 1m110y Fm 120 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 91 par15/08C5OR 91C0 @ Colonial Downs 05/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m110y Yie 120C1 @ Santa Anita 27/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 91 · 6f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/09/2026 · OR 91 par27/09C1OR 91projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-27Santa AnitaPaco Lopez?2nd-3th+4
2026-09-05Colonial DownsEdwin Gonzalez?2nd2nd0
2026-08-15Colonial DownsPaco Lopez?3rd3rd0
2026-06-27Colonial DownsPaco Lopez?1st1st0
2026-04-25WoodbineSahin Civaci?3rd3rd0
2026-03-08Turfway ParkLuan Machado?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/118/0315/0827/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 64/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength93%

Delivery trend -0.1% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/11/20254th7/282%25%-0.57
27/11/20252nd25/10%83%+0.83
31/01/20269th40/10%11%+0.11
08/03/20263rd9/276%71%-0.05
25/04/20263rd7/282%67%-0.15
27/06/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
15/08/20263rd7/491%71%-0.19
05/09/20262nd9/488%86%-0.02
27/09/20262nd6/168%88%+0.19