5
Little Georgie
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 5 · OR 85
Gulfstream · Race 10 - Cellars Shiraz Stakes · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Kentucky Downs | Micah Husbands | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-07-22 | Colonial Downs | Nik Juarez | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-05-09 | Gulfstream | Rasheed Hughes | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-04-12 | Gulfstream | Jonathan Ocasio | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-02-21 | Gulfstream | Micah Husbands | ? | 9th | 11th | −2 |
| 2025-12-13 | Gulfstream | Edgard Zayas | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 39/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength5%
Delivery trend +4.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 13/12/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 21/02/2026 | 9th | 5/2 | 87% | 11% | -0.76 |
| 12/04/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 89% | +0.23 |
| 22/07/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |