6

Never Say Never

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 81

Gulfstream · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength2%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gulfstream 05/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 90 · 1m70y 121 · below its mark05/03/2026 · OR 90 par5/03C8OR 90C8 @ Gulfstream 21/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 90 · 1m Fas 121 · below its mark21/03/2026 · OR 90 parC8 @ Gulfstream 18/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 86 · 1m70y Fas 121 · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 86 par18/04C8OR 86C8 @ Gulfstream 08/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 91 · 1m70y Fas 123 · below its mark08/05/2026 · OR 91 parC8 @ Gulfstream 27/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 82 · 1m70y Fas 125 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 82 par27/06C8OR 82C8 @ Gulfstream 25/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 91 · 1m70y Fas 124 · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 91 parC8 @ Gulfstream 17/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 85 · 1m Fas 123 · below its mark17/08/2026 · OR 85 par17/08C8OR 85C8 @ Gulfstream 12/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 86 · 1m 123 · below its mark12/09/2026 · OR 86 parC8 @ Gulfstream 10/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 79 · 7f110y Fm 123 · below its mark10/10/2026 · OR 79 par10/10C8OR 79projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-10GulfstreamRenzo Rojas?4th4th0
2026-09-12GulfstreamPedro Pena?8th8th0
2026-08-17GulfstreamLeonel Reyes?4th4th0
2026-07-25GulfstreamPedro Pena?3rd3rd0
2026-06-27GulfstreamJose Morelos?6th6th0
2026-05-08GulfstreamKleiner Mejias?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/038/0517/0810/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 55/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength33%

Delivery trend +8.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/03/20267th6/168%0%-0.68
21/03/20265th10/147%20%-0.27
18/04/20267th40/10%40%+0.40
08/05/20263rd7/491%60%-0.31
27/06/20266th16/116%0%-0.16
25/07/20263rd9/276%60%-0.16
17/08/20264th10/147%25%-0.22
12/09/20268th25/10%0%0.00
10/10/20264th25/10%63%+0.63