7
Noble Prince
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 7 · OR 69
Gulfstream · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Gulfstream | Pedro Pena | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Gulfstream | Pedro Pena | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Gulfstream | Samy Camacho | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Gulfstream | Samy Camacho | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 7-8 · tight 85/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 15/02/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 08/03/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 57% | -0.34 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 70% | -0.01 |
| 10/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 23/08/2026 | 5th | 5/4 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |