5

Zozan

6yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 5 · OR 92

Gulfstream · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

99%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gulfstream 22/12/2024 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 94 · 7f Fas 123 · below its mark22/12/2024 · OR 94 par22/12C8OR 94C8 @ Gulfstream 13/02/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 94 · 1m Fas 122 · beat its mark13/02/2025 · OR 94 parC8 @ Gulfstream 15/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 97 · 1m Fas 120 · below its mark15/06/2025 · OR 97 par15/06C8OR 97C8 @ Gulfstream 27/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 94 · 1m 122 · beat its mark27/07/2025 · OR 94 parC8 @ Gulfstream 30/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 91 · 7f 124 · below its mark30/08/2025 · OR 91 par30/08C8OR 91C8 @ Gulfstream 20/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 92 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark20/09/2025 · OR 92 parC8 @ Gulfstream 20/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 94 · 1m Fas 121 · below its mark20/07/2026 · OR 94 par20/07C8OR 94C8 @ Gulfstream 08/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 90 · 1m Fm 125 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 90 parC8 @ Gulfstream 17/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 82 · 1m Fas 125 · below its mark17/08/2026 · OR 82 par17/08C8OR 82projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-17GulfstreamEdwin Gonzalez?2nd2nd0
2026-08-08GulfstreamMiguel Vasquez?9th9th0
2026-07-20GulfstreamEdwin Gonzalez?2nd2nd0
2025-09-20GulfstreamJonathan Ocasio?3rd3rd0
2025-08-30GulfstreamMiguel Vasquez?3rd3rd0
2025-07-27GulfstreamReylu Gutierrez?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/1227/0720/0717/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 3-4 · tight 85/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength61%

Delivery trend -3.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/12/20242nd11/486%88%+0.02
13/02/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
15/06/20252nd3/184%89%+0.05
27/07/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
30/08/20253rd13/891%78%-0.14
20/09/20253rd5/287%67%-0.20
20/07/20262nd5/287%80%-0.07
08/08/20269th16/116%0%-0.16
17/08/20262nd8/1597%75%-0.22