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Barjouj

3yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 1 · OR 75

Gulfstream · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

13/8

Win Prob

79%

Place Prob

57%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼2
Strength75%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 03/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS3/08C6C7 @ Gulfstream 19/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 90 · 7f Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/09/2026 · OR 90 par19/09C7OR 90projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19GulfstreamRasheed Hughes?3rd1st+2
2026-08-03GulfstreamRasheed Hughes?4th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0819/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 7-7 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -57.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/08/20264th10/147%63%+0.15
19/09/20263rd11/893%50%-0.43