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3

Captain Karter

5yo Horse · 8-13 · Draw 3 · OR 63

Gulfstream · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼3
Strength78%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 22/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 6f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS22/08C6C6 @ Gulfstream 13/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 48 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 48 par13/09C6OR 48C6 @ Gulfstream 02/10/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 61 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/10/2026 · OR 61 par2/10C6OR 61projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02GulfstreamAnthony Thomas?6th3rd+3
2026-09-13GulfstreamAnthony Thomas?6th3rd+3
2026-08-22GulfstreamAnthony Thomas?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0813/092/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 77/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +29.6% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/08/20266th10/147%17%-0.31
13/09/20266th16/116%17%+0.01
02/10/20266th20/10%29%+0.29