On The Rox
3yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 4 · OR 68
Gulfstream · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Delaware Park | Jaime Rodriguez | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-08-14 | Delaware Park | Vince Halliday | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-06-24 | Delaware Park | Samuel Marin | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-05-03 | Tampa Bay Downs | Jose Ferrer | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +10.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 24/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 17/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |