Astrogem

2yo Colt · 8-8 · Draw 2 · OR 64

Gulfstream · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 7f

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

61%

Place Prob

41%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▼ OVER-MARKED

Move▼1

Strength20%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.7

Today:

Class gap: +0.8

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Jockey	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-13	Gulfstream	Yolber Torres	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2026-07-25	Gulfstream	Edwin Gonzalez	?	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-05-22	Gulfstream	Diego Herrera	?	7th	4th	+3	6.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 49/100

▼ UNDER-DELIVERING

Trend▲

Strength70%

Delivery trend +2.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
22/05/2026	7th	16/1	16%	0%	-0.16
25/07/2026	4th	5/1	74%	25%	-0.49
13/09/2026	2nd	11/4	86%	75%	-0.11