1
Araucano
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 1 · OR 74
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Gulfstream | Samy Camacho | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-18 | Gulfstream | Samy Camacho | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Gulfstream | Jose Morelos | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Gulfstream | Miguel Vasquez | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Gulfstream | Samy Camacho | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Gulfstream | Luis Perez | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 34/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength52%
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 13/06/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 09/08/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 18/09/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |
| 09/10/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |