El Muheet
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 2 · OR 80
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Gulfstream | Diego Herrera | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gulfstream | Diego Herrera | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Gulfstream | Diego Herrera | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Gulfstream | Edwin Gonzalez | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Gulfstream | Edwin Gonzalez | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Gulfstream | Edwin Gonzalez | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 89% | -0.06 |
| 25/05/2025 | 8th | 4/9 | 98% | 36% | -0.61 |
| 15/11/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 17% | -0.68 |
| 27/12/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 30/01/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 21/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 04/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 24/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |