Love Hate
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 67
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Gulfstream | Carlos Martinez | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-18 | Gulfstream | Carlos Martinez | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Gulfstream | Jesus Rios | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Gulfstream | Jesus Rios | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Gulfstream | Diego Herrera | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Gulfstream | Diego Herrera | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 29% | -0.60 |
| 11/01/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 19/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 11/07/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 04/09/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 18/09/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 09/10/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |