Santal
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 6 · OR 78
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-18 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Gulfstream | Jose Morelos | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Gulfstream | Pedro Pena | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Gulfstream | Anthony Thomas | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Gulfstream | Yolber Torres | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 12/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 60% | -0.30 |
| 10/05/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 13/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 08/08/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 24/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 18/09/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 09/10/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |