6
Karolina Pharoah
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 6 · OR 81
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Our Dear Peggy Stakes · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
93%
Place Prob
73%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 1.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Gulfstream | Jonathan Ocasio | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength49%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |