4

Liberty Rings

2yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 71

Gulfstream · Race 6 - Our Dear Peggy Stakes · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 19/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 4f110y Fas 11719/04C6C5 @ Gulfstream 09/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 90 · 5f Fm 120 · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 90 par9/05C5OR 90C5 @ Churchill Downs 28/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 85 · 6f 122 · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 85 par28/06C5OR 85C5 @ Gulfstream 08/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 75 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 75 par8/08C5OR 75C5 @ Gulfstream 26/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 76 · 5f Gd 121 · below its mark26/09/2026 · OR 76 par26/09C5OR 76projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-26GulfstreamMiguel Vasquez?7th7th0
2026-08-08GulfstreamMiguel Vasquez?1st1st0
2026-06-28Churchill DownsMiguel Vasquez?7th7th0
2026-05-09GulfstreamMiguel Vasquez?1st1st0
2026-04-19GulfstreamMiguel Vasquez?3rd5th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/049/0528/068/0826/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -20.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/04/20263rd14/126%60%+0.34
09/05/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
28/06/20267th20/10%14%+0.14
08/08/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
26/09/20267th7/282%14%-0.67