4

Liberty Rings
2yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 71
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Our Dear Peggy Stakes · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Gulfstream | Miguel Vasquez | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Gulfstream | Miguel Vasquez | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Churchill Downs | Miguel Vasquez | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Gulfstream | Miguel Vasquez | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Gulfstream | Miguel Vasquez | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -20.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 08/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 26/09/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 14% | -0.67 |