Ajaayb
6yo Horse · 8-9 · Draw 4 · OR 96
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Gulfstream | Jose Morelos | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Gulfstream | Jose Morelos | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Churchill Downs | Emmanuel Esquivel | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Churchill Downs | Mario Gutierrez | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Gulfstream | Mario Gutierrez | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-02-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | Samuel Marin | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 01/11/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/11/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 07/02/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 56% | -0.33 |
| 21/02/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 16/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 10/10/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |