3
Captain Eddie
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 3 · OR 89
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Gulfstream | Edgar Perez | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Gulfstream | Edgar Perez | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Gulfstream | Edgar Perez | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Gulfstream | Edgar Perez | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-06-06 | Gulfstream | Edgar Perez | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Gulfstream | Edgar Perez | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 5-7 · tight 76/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 06/02/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/02/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 60% | -0.35 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |