2

He Be Hoppin

5yo Horse · 8-9 · Draw 2 · OR 84

Gulfstream · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Gulfstream 26/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 82 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark26/12/2025 · OR 82 par26/12C9OR 82C7 @ Gulfstream 21/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 86 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark21/02/2026 · OR 86 parC7 @ Gulfstream 21/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 79 · 7f Fas 122 · below its mark21/03/2026 · OR 79 par21/03C7OR 79C8 @ Gulfstream 09/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 72 · 7f Slo 126 · below its mark09/04/2026 · OR 72 parC8 @ Gulfstream 15/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 67 · 6f Fas 126 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 67 par15/05C8OR 67C8 @ Gulfstream 13/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 75 · 6f Fas 126 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 75 parC6 @ Gulfstream 16/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 83 · 6f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 83 par16/08C6OR 83C7 @ Gulfstream 04/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 84 · 6f Slo 121 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 84 parC7 @ Gulfstream 11/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 86 · 1m Slo 121 · below its mark11/10/2026 · OR 86 par11/10C7OR 86projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-11GulfstreamCarlos Martinez?5th5th0
2026-09-04GulfstreamCarlos Martinez?4th4th0
2026-08-16GulfstreamPedro Pena?6th5th+1
2026-07-13GulfstreamPedro Pena?1st2nd−1
2026-05-15GulfstreamJose Morelos?7th8th−1
2026-04-09GulfstreamJonathan Ocasio?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/129/0416/0811/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength2%

Delivery trend -0.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/12/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
21/02/20267th25/10%0%0.00
21/03/20265th100/10%43%+0.43
09/04/20263rd11/486%50%-0.36
15/05/20267th10/147%14%-0.33
13/07/20261st20/10%100%+1.00
16/08/20266th5/174%0%-0.74
04/09/20264th25/10%40%+0.40
11/10/20265th25/10%0%0.00