7
Mish
9yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 7 · OR 97
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
8/15
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
80%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Gulfstream | Samy Camacho | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Gulfstream | Samy Camacho | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Gulfstream | Miguel Vasquez | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Gulfstream | Samy Camacho | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Gulfstream | Rasheed Hughes | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Oaklawn Park | Francisco Arrieta | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 68/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength91%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 73% | -0.14 |
| 22/01/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 22/02/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 11/04/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 03/08/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/11 | 98% | 80% | -0.18 |
| 02/10/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |