9
Del Mar Sunrise
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 9 · OR 80
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Gulfstream | Rasheed Hughes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Gulfstream | Jose Morelos | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-08-02 | Gulfstream | Rasheed Hughes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Gulfstream | Rasheed Hughes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Gulfstream | Diego Herrera | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-03-19 | Gulfstream | Tyler Gaffalione | ? | 9th | 11th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 2-8 · tight 45/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength23%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 90% | +0.02 |
| 19/02/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 19/03/2026 | 9th | 7/4 | 91% | 0% | -0.91 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 02/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 02/10/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |