
Elenique
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 6 · OR 89
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Gulfstream | J G Torrealba | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Gulfstream | Diego Herrera | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-08-09 | Gulfstream | J G Torrealba | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Gulfstream | Diego Herrera | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Gulfstream | Luis Saez | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Gulfstream | Jose Gomez | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 56% | -0.26 |
| 14/02/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 57% | -0.36 |
| 12/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 89% | +0.01 |
| 11/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 78% | -0.14 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 88% | -0.07 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 4/11 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 03/10/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |