6

Elenique

3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 6 · OR 89

Gulfstream · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength44%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 30/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 92 · 7f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/01/2026 · OR 92 par30/01C6OR 92C7 @ Gulfstream 14/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 89 · 5f Fm 122 · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 89 parC7 @ Gulfstream 12/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 86 · 5f Fm 122 · below its mark12/03/2026 · OR 86 par12/03C7OR 86C6 @ Gulfstream 11/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 84 · 5f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/04/2026 · OR 84 parC6 @ Gulfstream 09/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 85 · 7f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 85 par9/05C6OR 85C6 @ Gulfstream 13/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 90 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/07/2026 · OR 90 parC6 @ Gulfstream 09/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 91 · 1m Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 91 par9/08C6OR 91C5 @ Gulfstream 29/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 93 · 1m 117 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 93 parC6 @ Gulfstream 03/10/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 89 · 7f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/10/2026 · OR 89 par3/10C6OR 89projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-03GulfstreamJ G Torrealba?7th6th+1
2026-08-29GulfstreamDiego Herrera?4th2nd+2
2026-08-09GulfstreamJ G Torrealba?1st0th+1
2026-07-13GulfstreamDiego Herrera?2nd1st+1
2026-05-09GulfstreamLuis Saez?3rd2nd+1
2026-04-11GulfstreamJose Gomez?3rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0111/049/083/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 4-8 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength32%

Delivery trend -2.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/01/20265th7/282%56%-0.26
14/02/20264th11/893%57%-0.36
12/03/20262nd9/488%89%+0.01
11/04/20263rd5/287%67%-0.20
09/05/20263rd13/891%78%-0.14
13/07/20262nd1/195%88%-0.07
09/08/20261st4/1198%100%+0.02
29/08/20264th5/174%40%-0.34
03/10/20267th11/271%0%-0.71