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4

Nashville Slew

4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 4 · OR 77

Gulfstream · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Gulfstream 05/01/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 78 · 1m70y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/01/2025 · OR 78 par5/01C5OR 78C7 @ Gulfstream 07/02/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 82 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark07/02/2025 · OR 82 parC7 @ Gulfstream 02/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 81 · 1m110y Fm 118 · below its mark02/05/2025 · OR 81 par2/05C7OR 81C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 28/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 78 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark28/01/2026 · OR 78 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 18/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 76 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark18/02/2026 · OR 76 par18/02C8OR 76C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 22/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 72 · 1m Fm 121 · beat its mark22/03/2026 · OR 72 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 19/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 70 · 1m Fm 126 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 70 par19/04C8OR 70C7 @ Gulfstream 05/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 82 · 1m110y Fm 126 · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 82 parC7 @ Gulfstream 02/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 79 · 1m 126 · below its mark02/10/2026 · OR 79 par2/10C7OR 79projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02GulfstreamJonathan Ocasio?5th5th0
2026-09-05GulfstreamPedro Pena?6th6th0
2026-04-19Tampa Bay DownsCipriano Gil?2nd3rd−1
2026-03-22Tampa Bay DownsSamuel Marin?1st2nd−1
2026-02-18Tampa Bay DownsPablo Morales?10th11th−1
2026-01-28Tampa Bay DownsPablo Morales?5th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0128/0119/042/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 32/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength48%

Delivery trend -4.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/01/20252nd20/10%80%+0.80
07/02/20258th14/126%36%+0.10
02/05/20255th20/10%33%+0.33
28/01/20265th12/137%43%+0.06
18/02/202610th12/137%0%-0.37
22/03/20261st25/10%100%+1.00
19/04/20262nd8/158%80%+0.22
05/09/20266th12/137%17%-0.20
02/10/20265th14/126%43%+0.17