3
Radical Rhetoric
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 3 · OR 83
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Gulfstream | Diego Herrera | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-24 | Gulfstream | Emisael Jaramillo | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-04-19 | Gulfstream | Joe Bravo | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-03-15 | Gulfstream | Paco Lopez | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-02-15 | Gulfstream | Paco Lopez | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength20%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 15/03/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 19/04/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 24/05/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 26/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |