Evening Charm
2yo Filly · 8-5 · Draw 7 · OR 33
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Evin Roman | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-09-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Evin Roman | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-08-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Evin Roman | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-06-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Evin Roman | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -27.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 11/08/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 30% | +0.04 |
| 17/09/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 13/10/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |