IvyArcIvyArc
1

Three Point Seven

2yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 1 · OR 50

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

4/6

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼3
Strength94%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS3/09C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 38 · 5f110y Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/10/2026 · OR 38 par15/10C6OR 38projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-15Horseshoe IndianapolisOrlando Mojica?4th1st+3
2026-09-03Horseshoe IndianapolisOrlando Mojica?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0915/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +40.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/20266th9/488%44%-0.44
15/10/20264th13/266%63%-0.03