5
J's Alley Cat
2yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 5 · OR 38
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Irving Moncada | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Irving Moncada | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Alex Achard | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Micah Meeks | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Micah Meeks | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-7 · tight 45/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -20.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 11/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 01/09/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 17/09/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 13/10/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |