5
Maid Of Steel
2yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 5 · OR 53
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
8/13
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
96%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼2
Strength71%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Mitchell Murrill | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Mitchell Murrill | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Mitchell Murrill | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 35/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength83%
Delivery trend +14.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 15/06/2026 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |
| 06/10/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 86% | -0.04 |