1
Victory On Ice
2yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 1 · OR 76
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
2/5
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
100%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Alex Achard | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Alex Achard | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 3-3 · tight 71/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength66%
Delivery trend -27.0% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 14/10/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 89% | -0.05 |