2
Honor And Courage
2yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 2 · OR 55
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Keeneland | Jaime Torres | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-09-16 | Churchill Downs | Adam Beschizza | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-08-21 | Ellis Park | Adam Beschizza | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Ellis Park | Adam Beschizza | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 37/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength60%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 21/08/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 16/09/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 09/10/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 56% | -0.08 |