11
Very Royal
2yo Colt · 8-8 · Draw 11 · OR 78
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
27%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | James Graham | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-17 | Churchill Downs | Carlos Franca | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Gabriel Saez | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 65/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 17/09/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 13/10/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |