4
Greystar
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 4 · OR 69
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Keeneland | Francisco Arrieta | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Amir Mendoza | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Ellis Park | Micah Meeks | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Oaklawn Park | Luis Quinonez | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Oaklawn Park | Cristian Torres | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/04/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 14/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 08/10/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |