Bout Tree Fiddy
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 7 · OR 75
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 5.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Joseph Bealmear | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Joseph Bealmear | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Amir Mendoza | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Amir Mendoza | ? | 11th | 13th | −2 |
| 2026-07-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Amir Mendoza | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-06-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Amir Mendoza | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 12/11/2025 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 04/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 17/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 28/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 05/08/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 19/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 17/09/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 12/10/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |