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11

Junkyard Justice

4yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 11 · OR 73

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m

#9

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 31/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 58 · 1m Slo 120 · beat its mark31/07/2025 · OR 58 par31/07C6OR 58C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 70 · 1m Slo 119 · beat its mark07/10/2025 · OR 70 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 64 · 1m110y Fm 119 · beat its mark28/10/2025 · OR 64 par28/10C5OR 64C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 64 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 64 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 59 · 1m110y Gd 122 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 59 par11/08C5OR 59C0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 1m110y Gd 120C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 57 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 57 par11/09C5OR 57C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 24/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 63 · 1m110y Fm 124 · beat its mark24/09/2026 · OR 63 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/10/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 71 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark22/10/2026 · OR 71 par22/10C5OR 71projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-22Horseshoe IndianapolisJoseph Romero?8th8th0
2026-09-24Horseshoe IndianapolisJoseph Romero?4th4th0
2026-09-11Horseshoe IndianapolisJoseph Romero?1st1st0
2026-08-26Horseshoe IndianapolisJoseph Romero?11th11th0
2026-08-11Horseshoe IndianapolisJoseph Romero?8th8th0
2026-07-09Horseshoe IndianapolisJoseph Romero?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/079/0711/0922/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 9-12 · tight 78/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -8.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/07/20251st25/10%100%+1.00
07/10/20256th12/137%38%+0.01
28/10/20254th12/137%57%+0.20
09/07/20267th25/10%14%+0.14
11/08/20268th20/10%13%+0.13
26/08/202611th50/10%0%0.00
11/09/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
24/09/20264th9/153%50%-0.03
22/10/20268th15/261%13%-0.48