6
My Lunar Charm
3yo Gelding · 8-3 · Draw 6 · OR 82
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
34%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Irving Moncada | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Irving Moncada | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Irving Moncada | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Irving Moncada | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Irving Moncada | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Irving Moncada | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 37/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength53%
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 44% | -0.13 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 90% | +0.22 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 73% | -0.11 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 11/09/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 24/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 22/10/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |