Scenic Justice
6yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 2 · OR 85
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
25%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Victor Lara | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Fernando Cruz La De | ? | 10th | 13th | −3 |
| 2026-09-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Joseph Ramos | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Samuel Bermudez | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-06-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Samuel Bermudez | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Samuel Bermudez | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 13/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 13/11/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 04/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 17/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 31/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 17/09/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 29% | -0.58 |
| 29/09/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 12/10/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |