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4yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 10 · OR 76
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m
#12
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Fernando Cruz La De | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
| 2026-08-19 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Emmanuel Esquivel | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Joseph Ramos | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Fernando Cruz La De | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Mitchell Murrill | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Mitchell Murrill | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 12-12 · tight 90/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 13/12/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |
| 08/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 91% | +0.44 |
| 12/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 02/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 22/06/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 28/07/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 33% | -0.49 |
| 19/08/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 14/10/2026 | 7th | 11/10 | 94% | 14% | -0.80 |