Catnip Hill
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 58
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Hannah Leahey | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-10-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Victor Lara | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Hannah Leahey | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-08-20 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Joseph Ramos | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Hawthorne | Victor Lara | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Hawthorne | Javier Tavares | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 04/06/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 23/09/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 06/10/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 14/10/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |