8

Figurine

3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 8 · OR 73

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Turfway Park 21/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 76 · 1m 120 · below its mark21/01/2026 · OR 76 par21/01C9OR 76C6 @ Turfway Park 26/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 77 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/02/2026 · OR 77 parC6 @ Turfway Park 26/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 74 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/03/2026 · OR 74 par26/03C6OR 74C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 18/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 77 · 1m Gd 120 · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 77 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 81 · 1m110y Fm 120 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 81 par11/06C9OR 81C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 82 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark15/07/2026 · OR 82 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 20/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 74 · 1m Slo 120 · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 74 par20/08C9OR 74C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 71 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/09/2026 · OR 71 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/10/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 71 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark06/10/2026 · OR 71 par6/10C9OR 71projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-06Horseshoe IndianapolisAlexander Crispin?6th6th0
2026-09-01Horseshoe IndianapolisSummer Pauly?6th3rd+3
2026-08-20Horseshoe IndianapolisAlberto Burgos?3rd3rd0
2026-07-15Horseshoe IndianapolisSummer Pauly?6th6th0
2026-06-11Horseshoe IndianapolisSummer Pauly?9th9th0
2026-05-18Horseshoe IndianapolisSummer Pauly?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0118/0520/086/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 3-12 · tight 45/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength29%

Delivery trend +5.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/01/20262nd3/184%89%+0.05
26/02/20264th15/261%70%+0.09
26/03/20264th9/153%25%-0.28
18/05/20262nd9/276%80%+0.04
11/06/20269th4/179%0%-0.79
15/07/20266th10/382%38%-0.45
20/08/20263rd14/126%67%+0.40
01/09/20266th50/10%44%+0.44
06/10/20266th25/10%44%+0.44