Snowglobe

3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 11 · OR 79

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▬ RUNS TO MARK

Move▬

Strength34%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C8.0

Today:

Class gap: +0.5

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Jockey	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-23	Colonial Downs	Declan Cannon	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2026-07-16	Colonial Downs	Sonny Leon	?	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-06-26	Colonial Downs	Sonny Leon	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-05-26	Horseshoe Indianapolis	William Iii Antongeorgi	?	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-03-12	Turfway Park	Carlos Barbosa	?	7th	4th	+3	6.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 49/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength68%

Delivery trend -2.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
12/03/2026	7th	20/1	0%	0%	0.00
26/05/2026	5th	20/1	0%	64%	+0.64
26/06/2026	3rd	9/1	53%	78%	+0.25
16/07/2026	4th	5/1	74%	70%	-0.04
23/08/2026	2nd	13/2	66%	89%	+0.23