Summer Date
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 5 · OR 72
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Keeneland | Junior Alvarado | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-12 | Churchill Downs | Joel Rosario | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Kentucky Downs | Tyler Gaffalione | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-06-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Fernando Cruz La De | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-05-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Fernando Cruz La De | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-04-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Fernando Cruz La De | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 19/11/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 05/03/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 21/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 06/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 05/09/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |
| 09/10/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |